The Kim Regime
Sanctions, Diplomacy, and Nuclear Survival
By Major Mithun P. Sheth
Article published on: January 1st, 2025 in the Army Chemical Review 2025 Annual Issue
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Despite being subjected to one of the most comprehensive sanction regimes in history, the Democratic
People’s Republic of Korea (DPRK) has continued
to develop its nuclear arsenal, posing a persistent challenge
to global security and nonproliferation efforts. Through a
combination of cyber operations, illicit trade networks, the
procurement of dual-use technologies, and diplomatic maneuvering, North Korea has successfully circumvented restrictions to acquire critical materials and technologies. This
article examines the strategies, technologies, and networks
that enable the DPRK to sustain and expand its nuclear capabilities, highlighting the broader implications for regional
stability and the effectiveness of international counterproliferation measures
After China’s first nuclear test in 1964, Kim Il Sung,
founder and First Supreme Leader of North Korea, tried to
purchase nuclear technology from Beijing and Moscow, both
of whom refused due to their fear of Kim’s intent to build
nuclear weapons.1
Kim assured the Chinese and Russian
powers that the nuclear intentions of the DPRK were peaceful. Diplomatic maneuvering soon established relationships
with the Union of Soviet Socialist Republics (USSR) to provide technical support, training, and nuclear fuel, and North
Korean scientists were trained in nuclear physics in the
USSR. By 1965, the USSR provided the DPRK a 2-megawatt light-water research reactor at the Yongbyon Nuclear Scientific Research Center. The North Koreans quickly
reverse-engineered this technology, using Soviet education
to repurpose the reactor for military applications. The Kim
regime repeatedly insisted to its world allies that its actions
were for peaceful purposes.
In 1977, the DPRK signed a trilateral safeguard agreement with the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA),
bringing its Soviet-supplied IRT-2000 reactor under international safeguard. The DRPK also signed the Nuclear Nonproliferation Treaty in 1985.2
These political actions seemed
to suggest cooperation, but they were largely a superficial
gesture used to gain and maintain Soviet support and nuclear fuel. While the DPRK allowed limited inspections of
the reactor, it concealed its plutonium reprocessing efforts.
For almost 7 years, the Kim regime delayed fulfilling the
treaty’s requirement to allow IAEA inspections. During this
time, it clandestinely pursued nuclear weapon development.
North Korea also used the suspension of the Nuclear Nonproliferation Treaty as a bargaining tool for light water reactors (LWRs) and oil while continuing uranium
and missile development. By the early 1990s, the United
States became aware of construction activities near Yongbyon, leading to suspicions that the DPRK was developing nuclear weapons. After coalition forces threatened air
strikes, North Korea (as a stalling tactic) agreed to IAEA
inspections. However, the DPRK repeatedly blocked inspectors from accessing two facilities at Yongbyon, where it was
suspected of producing plutonium. The DPRK also provided
false declarations regarding the accountability of nuclear
material. When discrepancies were uncovered, the IAEA demanded access to the restricted facilities. In 1993, the situation worsened when North Korea announced its planned
withdrawal from the Nuclear Nonproliferation Treaty. Just
1 month later, after the United States considered nuclear
strikes, the DPRK suspended its withdrawal and signaled
its willingness to discuss IAEA safeguards and inspections
in exchange for modern LWR technology. This laid the foundation for the 1994 Agreed Framework between the DPRK
and the United States, which required the DPRK to freeze
the construction of its weapons-based nuclear reactor in exchange for two proliferation-resistant LWRs and 500,000
metric tons of fuel oil annually until the two reactors were
completed.3
In 2002, evidence emerged that the Kim regime
had violated the1994 Agreed Framework by acquiring centrifuge components, enrichment materials, and short-range
ballistic missile technology. Satellite imagery also revealed
ongoing activities (such as the expansion of missile test sites
and uranium enrichment facilities) at Yongbyon and other
locations.4
North Korean diplomats then walked away from
the negotiation table and removed all IAEA personnel from
North Korea.
In 2008, the Six-Party Talks brought North Korea back
to the bargaining table. They agreed to disable the Yongbyon reactor in exchange for fuel aid, economic incentives,
and political concessions (such as their removal from the
U.S. State Sponsors of Terrorism list).5
The Kim Regime
partially disabled Yongbyon, but they refused to provide a
full accounting of their nuclear program. While receiving
aid, the DPRK continued the development of a uranium enrichment program. By the end of the Six-Party Talks, North
Korea had significantly advanced their nuclear and missile
programs. By 2009, the DPRK had walked away from the
talks, resumed nuclear development, and conducted additional nuclear tests—all while keeping the agricultural support aid packages, food aid, and tons of fuel oil to address their chronic energy shortages. Remaining off the State
Sponsors of Terrorism list, the DPRK improved its image internationally and opened the door to limited financial transactions. However, in 2017, President Donald J. Trump put
North Korea back on the list, effectively promising to punish third-party countries that financially dealt with North
Korea.
The DPRK also uses cyber operations to forge shipping
manifests, alter tracking systems, and create fake companies. Agents often use front companies and intermediaries
to acquire materials such as aluminum tubes, high-strength
steel, and centrifuge components under the guise of civilian
use. In 2013, a shipment of graphite cylinders used in missile nose cones was intercepted in South Korea. The cylinders were en route to the DPRK, falsely labeled as industrial
equipment.6
Additionally, the regime sources technologies
with civilian and military applications through front companies and regional intermediaries. In 2017, investigations
revealed that North Korean leaders used Glocom, a front
company based in Malaysia, to sell military communications
equipment internationally. The proceeds were funneled
back to support DPRK weapon programs.7
The current DPRK has leveraged cyber operations as a
critical tool to circumvent international sanctions, steal resources, and procure the technologies necessary to sustain
and expand its nuclear program. In 2018, the DPRK Reconnaissance General Bureau (the DPRK intelligence agency)
forced the transfer of $10 million from Banco de Chile to accounts in Hong Kong.8
The proceeds have reportedly funded
as much as 40 percent of the cost of the weapons of mass
destruction program of North Korea.9
North Korea has become resilient to sanctions by relying on sophisticated smuggling operations, including ship-to-ship transfers of oil and other sanctioned goods. The Wise
Honest, a DPRK ship seized by the United States in 2018,
was involved in illicit coal exports and equipment imports
for its nuclear program.10 In 2019, the United Nations reported that DPRK vessels engaged in illegal ship-to-ship
transfers of refined petroleum products, often in the East
China Sea. These transfers involved turning off automatic
identification system trackers to avoid being monitored.11
DPRK ships have been caught transporting banned coal to
countries such as China and receiving refined petroleum
products at sea in violation of United Nations sanctions.
North Korean cyber units, particularly the Lazarus
Group, have conducted large-scale cryptocurrency heists,
stealing billions of dollars from exchanges, wallets, and
mining operations. In 2022, the Lazarus Group’s crypto
heists enabled the DPRK to steal $615 million from Ronin
Network, $100 million from Horizon, and $100 million from
crypto portfolios in the form of Atomic Wallet, Bitcoin, Ethereum, Binance Smart Chain, and Polygon.12 Pyongyang
leaders continued cyberattacks and, by 2023, had netted
the regime around $3 billion over 6 years. The DPRK has
also targeted brick and mortar financial institutions. The
Lazarus Group funneled $81 million in fraudulent Society for Worldwide Interbank Financial Telecommunications
transactions through the Bank of Bangladesh.13 These funds
bypass traditional banking systems and provide the regime
a significant financial lifeline.
While not openly supportive, certain states provide tacit
support or overlook violations, enabling North Korea to bypass sanctions. Chinese companies and brokers have been
heavily implicated in aiding the smuggling efforts of the
DPRK, often providing logistical support, financial services,
and access to restricted materials. In 2018, the U.S. Treasury sanctioned Dalian Sun Moon Star International Logistics Trading Co., a Chinese firm that helped North Korea
facilitate illicit fuel shipments and evade sanctions.14 The
DPRK also partnered with Russian actors to acquire materials and technologies. Between 2022 and 2025, North Korea
traded arms and ammunition with—and supplied workers
and troops to—Russia in exchange for satellite technology
and fuel. Russia helped the DPRK develop a military reconnaissance satellite, and Kim Jong Un, Third Supreme Leader of North Korea, supported Russia’s invasion of Ukraine,
providing millions of shells, rockets, labor workers, and
troops. U.S. President Joseph R. Biden attempted to resume
negotiations, but Pyongyang leaders showed little interest
as they continued missile testing and formally ended efforts
to reunify with South Korea.
The DPRK nuclear program has been marked by a pursuit of nuclear weapons despite widespread sanctions and
diplomatic agreements. Through clandestine nuclear development, diplomatic maneuvering, cyber operations, and illicit trade networks, Pyongyang has consistently bypassed
sanctions and pursued its nuclear ambitions. The regime
has repeatedly used international agreements as tools to
gain economic aid and diplomatic concessions while continuing to secretly expand its nuclear capabilities. Despite
periods of diplomatic engagement, DPRK nuclear and missile programs have advanced, and its reliance on smuggling
networks and support from allies such as China and Russia
further complicate efforts to curb proliferation. The response
of the global community must evolve to address a multifaceted approach to the DPRK, emphasizing both sanctions
and strategies to disrupt illicit financial and trade networks
while leveraging information warfare and diplomatic pressure on its remaining supporters.
Endnotes
1. Balazs Szalontai and Sergey Radchenko, “North Korea’s Efforts to Acquire Nuclear Technology and Nuclear Weapons: Evidence from Russian and Hungarian Archives,” Woodrow Wilson
International School for Scholars, August 2006, https://www.wilsoncenter.org/sites/default/files/media/documents/publication/WP53_web_final1.pdf, accessed on 9 April 2025.
2. International Atomic Energy Agency, “Fact Sheet on DPRK Nuclear Safeguards,” www.iaea.org, 25 July 2014, https://www.iaea.org/newscenter/focus/dprk/fact-sheet-on-dprk-nuclear-safeguards, accessed on 9 April 2025.
3. Kelsey Davenport, “The U.S.-North Korean Agreed Framework at a Glance,” Armscontrol.org, 2022, https://www.armscontrol.org/factsheets/us-north-korean-agreed-framework-glance, accessed on 14 April 2025.
4. Jayshree Bajoria and Beina Xu, “The Six Party Talks on North Korea’s Nuclear Program,” Council on Foreign Relations, 30 September 2013, https://www.cfr.org/backgrounder/six-party-talks-north-koreas-nuclear-program, accessed on 9 April 2025.
5. Joseph S Bermudez, “Undeclared DPRK: The Yongnim Missile Operating Base,” Beyond Parallel, 14 November 2024, https://beyondparallel.csis.org/undeclared-north-korea-the-yongnim-missile-operating-base/, accessed on 9 April 2025.
6. Mary Beth Nikitin, “North Korea’s Nuclear Weapons: Technical Issues,” Congressional Research Service, 3 April 2013, https://www.congress.gov/crs-product/RL34256?q=%7B%22search%22%3A%22RL34256%22%7D&s=6&r=6, accessed on 9 April 2025.
7. James Pearson and Rozanna Latiff, “North Korea Spy Agency Runs Arms Operation out of Malaysia, U.N. Says,” Reuters, 27 February 2017, https://www.reuters.com/article/world/north-korea-spy-agency-runs-arms-operation-out-of-malaysia-un-says-idUSKBN1650YE/, accessed on 9 April 2025.
8. Julian Ryall, “How Crypto Heists Help North Korea Fund Its Nuclear Program,” Deutsche Welle, 26 March 2024, https://www.dw.com/en/how-crypto-heists-help-north-korea-fund-its-nuclear-program/a-68669802, accessed on 7 April 2025.
9. Jayshree Bajoria and Beina Xu.
10. Office of Public Affairs, “Department of Justice Announces forfeiture of North Korean Cargo Vessel,” U.S. Department of Justice, 21 October 2019, https://www.justice.gov/opa/pr/department-justice-announces-forfeiture-north-korean-cargo-vessel, accessed on 9 April 2025.
11.Department of the Treasury, “Updated Guidance on Addressing DPRK’s Illicit Shipping Practices,” Office of Foreign Assets Control, 21 March 2019, https://ofac.treasury.gov/media/16506/download?inline, accessed on 9 April 2025.
12. Hugh Griffiths et al., “Report of the Panel of Experts Established pursuant to Resolution 1874,” un.org, 3 April 2013, https://documents.un.org/doc/undoc/gen/n19/028/82/pdf/n1902882.pdf , accessed on 9 April 2025.
13. FBI National Press Office, “FBI Confirms Lazarus Group Cyber Actors Responsible for Harmony’s Horizon Bridge Currency Theft,” Federal Bureau of Investigation, 23 January 2023, https://www.fbi.gov/news/press-releases/fbi-confirms-lazarus-group-cyber-actors-responsible-for-harmonys-horizon-bridge-currency-theft, accessed on 9 April 2025.
14. “Dalian Sun Moon Star International Logistics Trading Co., Ltd,” Open Sanctions, 15 August 2015, https://www.opensanctions.org/entities/NK-PqXkeFYJQrsSemMbfzCnsc/, accessed on 9 April 2025.
Author
Major Sheth is the Education Branch Chief for the U.S. Army
Nuclear and Countering Weapons of Mass Destruction Agency,
Fort Belvoir, Virginia. He holds a Doctor of Medicine (M.D.)
degree from Poznan University of Medical Sciences, Poland; a
master’s degree in environmental management from Webster
University; and a master’s degree in strategic technology intelligence from National Intelligence University, Bethesda, Maryland