Tourist Invasion
By Claudia Flisi
| Army AL&T
Magazine, Spring 2025 Edition
Read Time:
< 10 mins
LOST LUGGAGE - As the volume of lost luggage grows, so do luggage
tracking options to deal with it. (Photo by Sergei Sarostin, Pexels)
Rising travel logistics solutions could be as instructive for the DOD as
for private enterprise.
Blame it on Thomas Cook. In 1851, the British entrepreneur created the
first “package tour,” organizing a group of his countrymen to visit London
together with the same scheduled itinerary. Before that, the only people
who had been able to indulge in leisure travel—especially the Grand Tours
of major European cities—were the privileged few who made their
arrangements on an individual basis. Now, suddenly, the bourgeoisie could
travel to the same places, albeit not as luxuriously.
Mass market tourism began to take hold in the wake of Cook’s innovations.
Fast forward another century, and leisure travel exploded after World War
II, thanks to a series of overlapping developments: the growth of the
airline industry; improved transportation infrastructure in general (cars,
buses, trains, ships and planes); the increased affluence of the middle
class; and the introduction of paid vacation days for employees.
Today, massive tourist invasions are normal. Upwards of 50 million people
will invade the city of Paris in 2025, and a similar number is projected
for Rome. Venice, a city of 50,000 people, tries to cope with more than 20
million visitors a year. Far-flung destinations like Antarctica are not
immune: That white wilderness, bigger than Australia, registered fewer
than 8,000 visitors two decades ago but may surpass 120,000 in 2025. The
global travel market, estimated to be worth about $12 trillion in 2024, is
growing at a compound annual rate of 5.4%. This means that the market will
double in size by 2035, and it is already 14 times the size of the 2024
U.S. Department of Defense (DOD) budget.
So, how has the travel industry been able to keep up with this staggering
volume of people, the equipment needed to transport them and the supplies
required to feed and house them?
The solutions could be as instructive for the DOD as for private
enterprise, since many of the issues they face are analogous. Fortunately,
technology has evolved dramatically in half a century to keep pace with
market needs. Sophisticated data management systems have been developed to
handle the sheer number of people, planes, hotel rooms, ship cabins,
provisions and other complexities that are integral to the exploding
travel industry. Logistics are the baseline for these systems.
“Efficiency, optimization and agility are the goals of any logistics
system,” Alicia Ingersoll, a professor of business at Weber State
University in Ogden, Utah, explained during an interview. “But it is
preparedness that underlies everything. Logistics leaders need to be
knowledgeable and up-to-date on a variety of topics, such as geopolitics,
the regulatory environment, weather patterns and the business environment,
in order to be prepared.”
Preparedness, Ingersoll explained, is a thorough understanding of one’s
operating environment. “This means constantly scanning sources of
information and being able to digest that information to make informed
decisions. You can build an agile and adaptable system, but in order to
maximize that system you need to be able to understand when it is time to
shift,” she emphasized.
The Army recognized that “time to shift” in 2018, when it established the
Army Futures Command to integrate new concepts and capabilities into its
mission of winning future wars. This was followed by the Army Digital
Transformation Strategy (ADTS) in 2021. Key objectives of the ADTS include
data-driven decision making, cloud implementation, cybersecurity
enhancements, network modernization and workforce development.
ENTER BIG DATA
Big Data refers to massive, increasingly expanding data sets that are too
large and complex for traditional data-processing software. When mined
algorithmically, Big Data can reveal patterns, trends and associations
that might otherwise remain hidden or be unnoticed. This type of data can
help the travel industry, as well as the DOD, know when it is time to
shift. Dynamic pricing strategies are only possible because of Big Data.
For example, airlines use mathematical modeling techniques, including game
theory and network optimization, to make informed decisions.
The travel sector generates reams of data from its customers and
operations and puts this information to work to optimize route planning,
improve resource allocation, reduce operational costs, enhance supply
chain management and develop predictive maintenance schedules. Airports
use data to decide how highly contested airport slots should be allocated
and utilized most efficiently to avoid congestion and flight delays.
Customer relationship management software systems enable travel companies
to harness Big Data for the automation of repetitious actions and the
creation of customized client profiles.
Automation takes on the basic repetitive tasks that humans might find
boring. Since computers don’t get bored, they don’t make errors
resulting from ennui. Tasks such as payment processing, booking
confirmations and the like are moved to automation while human resources
address more complex and challenging problems.
Big Data was one of several travel
trends presented at Digital Transformation 2025, a travel technology
conference held in
London in September 2024. Maria Bondarenko, featured speaker and vice
president of product for GP Solutions, discussed how businesses can apply
emerging technologies to drive growth and efficiency. In her view, these
trends have shaped world travel today and will continue to mold its
direction for the future. In addition to Big Data and automation, she
included the Internet of Things (IoT, i.e., device connectivity across
platforms), cloud computing (the ubiquitous access to data and
applications anytime, anywhere) and artificial intelligence (AI).
Industry and DOD alike need to concentrate on mantras of efficiency,
optimization and agility if they are to maximize technology’s potential.
MOBILE ADVANCEMENTS
IoT can be described as a network of connected devices able to exchange
information with other devices and systems over the internet. Mobile
phones and apps are the most obvious examples, bringing
information and interaction into the hands of individual customers.
More than 60% of the world’s population
had a smartphone in 2024. With these smart devices, travelers can
manage their own booking, payment, check-in and navigation
tools. They can request personalized recommendations and provide direct
feedback to customer service.
Mobile phones have also changed the travel industry because of their
geo-location capabilities. A cellphone knows where you are and often what
you want in that specific place. Such proximity can be an advantage for
both travel operators and their clients, explained Jim Blackwell, digital
market leader at BDO, a global business advisory service, adding, “Today
the industry is trying to figure it out fast and furious.”
He gave the example of Avis, the car rental company. “It not only sends
information in real time about your car booking, but, if there is a
problem, it will search online and propose another car or option based on
your tastes, needs, preferences and location. Airlines don’t do this well
yet.”
Industry is also using IoT for luggage tracking. Some suitcases have
built-in tracking tools so they can be located with one’s cellphone or
computer. Apple’s AirTags are another way to track objects, not limited to
luggage. It is no surprise that the global smart luggage market is
predicated to rise 13% annually between 2025 and 2034.
IN THE CLOUD
While mobile advancements enable time—and cost—saving capabilities for
customers, cloud computing enables the travel industry to scale up and
down quickly—and cost-effectively—based on changing demands for storage
and computing power. Travel businesses can avoid large upfront investments
in infrastructure and instead pay only for what they use. In addition,
from the cloud, travel industry agents, guides and booking managers can
access data and applications anytime, anywhere. Cloud solutions are
especially valuable when members of the workforce are faced with
unforeseen events, whether meteorological or human-made. For example, an
earthquake or bombing might destroy a local office, but not the
information in the cloud.
Another attraction of cloud solutions is added security, such as strong
encryption, multifactor authentication and other features of parallel
importance to industry and DOD modernization efforts.
The cloud and security are also first and foremost in DOD thinking. U.S.
Air Force Lt. Gen. Robert J. Skinner, then director of the Defense
Information Systems Agency (DISA) and former commander of the Joint Force
Headquarters – Department of Defense Information Network, laid out his
three priorities for DISA in his introduction to its full five-year plan,
released in April 2024. They are to build a common information technology
(IT) environment, a more robust cloud computing system and zero-trust
cybersecurity in both IT systems and the cloud.
ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE
AI is more than the flavor of the month; it is the technology of the
decade. The travel industry is acutely aware of this and is integrating AI
into operations at a seriously fast and furious pace as travelers can now
plan trips using chatbots such as ChatGPT. A 2023 study by Longwoods
International found that one-third of U.S. travelers were likely to use AI
to plan their vacations, with that percentage expected to grow in the
future.
“Generative AI provides the means of layering a chat-based application
with a conversational user interface,” said Ingersoll. “Instead of having
to understand commands and queries, you can just ask conversational type
questions.” For example, a cruise director won’t need specialized training
or language to ask, ‘How many passengers will disembark in Southampton and
how many will board? How many eggs will I need for the next week of
cruising?’ Faster and more accurate responses and less required training
can translate to cost savings.
INNOVATIONS TAKE FLIGHT - The travel industry has turned to software,
hardware and innovation to deal with billions of travelers each year.
(Photo by Tom Barrett, Unsplash)
Ingersoll also pointed out that generative AI can assist with deciphering
analytics. “Large amounts of data can be analyzed quickly and put into
digestible formats for leaders, again without specialized training. AI can
offer first-pass insight or warnings and be the front line of scanning to
help on the preparedness front,” she said.
The travel industry is leaning into AI to make sense of unstructured data
in particular, elaborated Blackwell. He gave the example of text
information, which is very hard to analyze and quantify because it lacks
automatic numeric value. AI can consistently identify overall intent and
sentiment from the text, and it does so consistently without bias or
boredom. It can understand that a “badass” evaluation is good, not bad,
which a traditional word search would not be able to do, according to him.
AI enables deep data analysis, organizes it into spreadsheets and assigns
numeric values. It can then suggest solutions to problems.
“This is not a question of generating new data,” Blackwell insisted.
“There is plenty of data out there. It’s a matter of understanding and
using the data you already have.”
CONCLUSION
Thanks to advances in trending technologies, the tools to deal with rapid
travel industry expansion exist. But there are challenges. The complexity
of technology options has ironically driven more people back to using
old-fashioned travel agents, increasing agents in the U.S. by 6% over the
last five years, according to the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics. The
quest for simplicity is one reason. Another is something Rich Harril, a
professor at the University of South Carolina (USC) called “soft
intelligence.” Harrill is director of USC’s International Tourism Research
Institute. He noted that agents learn things about destinations because
they have their ear to the market. He advised not to rely on technology
alone but also on soft communications from the field. “AI can be a
double-edged sword. Decisions can be made faster but AI can also replicate
false data,” he added.
Industry and DOD alike need to concentrate on mantras of efficiency,
optimization and agility if they are to maximize technology’s potential.
They need to balance their customers’ desires for customization with data
privacy concerns and security considerations; incorporate the human touch
into automated systems; and train their people and their generative AI
systems continuously.
“Simplify, simplify, simplify,” Skinner said in the DISA Next strategy.
“We need to simplify our processes, we need to simplify the
infrastructure, we need to simplify the configurations and we need to
simplify how we do business with each other.”
Thomas Cook wouldn’t understand the 21st century technology but he would
undoubtedly approve of the people-centric focus.
For more information, email
armyalt@army.mil.
Authors
Claudia Flisi provides contract support to the U.S.
Army Acquisitions Center as a contributing writer and editor for Army
AL&T and JANSON. Her writing has appeared in the International New
York Times, Newsweek, Fortune and other publications, websites and books
from four countries in three languages. She has an M.A. in international
relations from the Johns Hopkins School of Advanced International
Studies and a B.A. in international relations with distinction from
Mount Holyoke College.