Beyond the Count
BDA for Modern Warfare
By Major Jeffrey D. Wegmeyer
Article published on: July 1, 2025 in the July – December
2025 Semiannual Collection
Read Time:
< 13 mins
Techniques for conducting battle damage assessments (BDA) during large scale
combat operations (LSCO) are sorely lacking in current doctrine. On the
surface it seems easy: count what you killed so you know what the enemy has
left. Unfortunately, the nuances and complexities of a modern battlefield
make this seemingly simple process extremely difficult, especially given
minimal doctrinal references. Additionally, U.S. forces have not
participated in LSCO in decades, so native institutional knowledge is also
lacking. Units have endeavored to piece together BDA teams and solutions,
but they all struggle. This paper is designed to set a common baseline for
considerations for a division or corps to conduct BDA effectively in an LSCO
fight. The principles we observe through simulated battles during Warfighter
exercises are equally effective in true conflict.
Pre-Conflict: Build Your Team and Establish Your Process
Roles and Responsibilities. Regardless of echelon, internal
roles and responsibilities must be explained thoroughly in a unit’s standard
operating procedure (SOP). Since division and corps-level BDA teams are
often pieced together from external organizations using, for example, a
mobilized reserve component or expeditionary military intelligence brigade
personnel, having a clear explanation of their roles and responsibilities
upon their arrival in theater is critical to starting strong and minimizing
the initial lag that occurs when taking on a new, unfamiliar role. Who
provides the collected BDA? Where is it collected? How is the collected data
processed? What are the required end products and assessments?
In addition to their standard internal roles, units must explicitly task
subordinates with specific responsibilities within the BDA process: corps
must direct divisions; divisions must direct brigades; and so on. Failure to
provide explicit direction results in duplicated effort and wasted
manpower—or, worse, units failing to deliver reports because each echelon
assumed it was the responsibility of the other. Both are extremely common
pitfalls in Warfighter exercises. Ideally, subordinate responsibilities
within the BDA process are published in an operation order, which ensures
both organizations clearly understand what is expected and have a reference
document, as opposed to relying on a more informal email or verbal
conversation.
Units must understand how organizations outside of their control—such as
higher headquarters (HHQ), adjacent units, other services, and partner
nations—publish BDA, where it is published, how frequently it is
disseminated, and how they can incorporate each organization’s information
into their own BDA processes. This information should be recorded and
reviewed regularly for accuracy to prevent inaccurate enemy assessments as
the result of incomplete reporting. Most significantly, a specific unit
member should be tasked to collect that data and incorporate it into the
unit’s overall assessment. Keep in mind that allies’ BDA may be collected
through a liaison or a Security Force Assistance Brigade, not directly from
the ally’s military force. This information is best captured by stating it
clearly within the internal roles and responsibilities discussed previously.
For example: 1) BDA analyst #1 is responsible for collecting Air Force BDA
every four hours from portal folder YYY at
https://abcd.com; that
information should be copied into the unit BDA tracker. 2) BDA analyst #2 is
responsible for pulling country M’s BDA from chat room XYZ at least once an
hour and adding it to the unit’s BDA tracker.
Units often conduct sensor-to-shooter technical rehearsals prior to
Warfighter exercises. During these rehearsals, units practice receiving
reports from a variety of sources, from signals intelligence to full motion
video to counterfire radars. Those reports are then processed through the
fires channel until a fire mission is executed. A similar rehearsal would be
helpful for BDA teams. Overlapping responsibilities can make the BDA process
particularly challenging, however, so if possible BDA teams from different
echelons should meet to talk through as many different vignettes as possible
to clarify responsibilities.
Collection and Dissemination Procedures. With roles and
responsibilities established, the next step is to create formats and
procedures for collecting BDA from across the battlefield. Units should
designate a standard BDA reporting format to ensure not only that reporting
is limited to the relevant information, but also to forestall the necessity
of interpreting multiple different formats before the battlefield can be
assessed productively. Ideally, the chosen format will be mirrored as
closely as possible in the requirements from HHQ to minimize reformatting.
And once a format is established for subordinates, its use must be
enforced!
Once the format is standardized, reporting timelines must be established and
enforced as well. Not all units will require the same timeline. For example,
ground maneuver elements regularly in contact with the enemy along the
forward line of own troops (FLOT) may provide updates every four to six
hours, while an element operating in the rear area only provides an update
once a day. Fires elements may provide updates more or less frequently
depending on their operational tempo, but elements focused on the
destruction of high payoff target systems should prepare much more frequent
updates. Aviation brigades engaged exclusively in deep attacks may need to
provide just a single update after each mission, while aviation support
along the FLOT may require more regular updates. The takeaway here is that
there is no one-size-fits-all solution—each subordinate unit must have a
function-specific timeline.
Collecting BDA from external sources is more typical at echelons corps and
above, but there may be special situations where lower echelon units should
consider some of these sources. For example, Air Force strikes or allied
operations occurring within a division’s area of operations (AO) could be
tallied by the division before submission to Corps, but that should be
deconflicted with Corps before operations commence to prevent duplicate
reporting.
Once BDA is collected and processed from all applicable sources, the unit
must disseminate a consolidated BDA product back out to its HHQ,
subordinates, and adjacent units. This allows those elements to refine their
understanding of the enemy’s remaining capabilities. Reports should be sent
on a system and in a format that everyone, especially all subordinate units,
can use. An assessment disseminated on the Secure Internet Protocol Router,
for example, offers no benefit for allies who can only access the Mission
Partner Environment; likewise, an assessment posted to the MAVEN Smart
System does not help a subordinate who works in the Command Post Computing
Environment but has no MAVEN account.
Finally, all collection and dissemination processes need an established and
tested Primary, Alternate, Contingency, and Emergency plan, known as a PACE
plan. How deep that plan goes will be based on how much risk the unit is
willing to accept, but at the very least it must include contingencies that
preserve the ability to assess enemy capabilities at all times.
Working groups and quality control are essential due to the ambiguities
inherent in basing enemy capabilities assessments on a wide variety of
battle damage reports. Some disagreement between units and echelons about
what remains on the battlefield is inevitable; those differences should be
resolved within the intelligence warfighting function into a single,
cohesive narrative that allows all G-2s to brief the same overall assessment
to commanders. Whether BDA discussions happen in a separate BDA working
group or as part of the intelligence synchronization meeting, the important
thing is that the discussions happen.
As units build trust across the team by identifying and resolving
differences in these working groups, there must also be an element of
quality control at various points in the process. Remember that high quality
BDA reporting enables high quality results and assessments. Divisions should
provide quality data consistently, which allows corps to trust the
assessments of divisions without rechecking their work. The same standard
applies for divisions down to brigades. When subordinates report incomplete
grids or misidentify equipment in enemy formations, their HHQ loses trust
and is forced to check their work, resulting in wasted time and manpower.
Before submitting BDA reports, each unit needs to validate both the
integrity of their data and their assessment of it. Destroyed
equipment should be associated with an appropriate enemy unit based on order
of battle and location on the battlefield. If incomplete data is received
from external organizations such as special operations forces or other
services, someone must be tasked to investigate and correct that data. For
example, if division artillery (DIVARTY) reports killing 6x multi-launch
rocket systems, that’s not enough information. Either the unit needs to
return to DIVARTY for confirmation of the specific system destroyed, or the
unit must determine the specific system(s) based on the location of the
battlefield. A report cannot simply be discarded if it is incomplete.
Soldiers attack their objective during aerial insertion and battle damage
assessment training at the Cincu Training Center, Romania. (U.S. Army photo)
Initial Assessment and Ongoing Updates
Understanding how the enemy employs its key systems is critical to
identifying which systems matter at each echelon, where to focus BDA tasks
for each echelon, and how to weight the effort of the BDA team. The opposing
force confronted during a Warfighter exercise will be equipped and organized
differently from our real-world adversaries, so it is important to evaluate
and understand the enemy in each situation. How the enemy employs its
systems will also change over time. For example, fires assets initially
employed as battalions may be forced to start operating as batteries, or
batteries may have to operate as sections, as attrition takes its toll. The
number of air defense systems per radar may increase or decrease in response
to battlefield successes or defeats.
Continually assessing how the enemy employs its systems will inform the BDA
plan. The type and number of systems a unit targets will change as the enemy
adjusts its tactics, techniques, and procedures. One day BDA analysts may be
looking for 6-plus systems in formation, while the next day the target has
changed to 1 or 2 systems operating independently. The “so what” of the
battle damage assessment will also change from day to day. One day,
destroying 10x artillery pieces may take out less than 10% of its
capability, while a few days later, destroying the same amount of equipment
may completely remove the enemy’s ability to affect a >critical operation
and force their commander to reposition assets or commit his reserve.
Understanding the enemy also refines the high-payoff target list (HPTL) to
prioritize high-value munitions appropriately. During a Warfighter exercise,
the enemy will have 6 or more different air defense systems enabled by 8 or
more different radars, totaling hundreds of pieces of equipment. A corps’
HPTL that includes simply “air defense” will result in targeting many
systems that should not be a corps problem, ultimately wasting hundreds of
precision munitions. HPTLs should be refined properly to classify targets
carefully, then delegated to the appropriate echelon for disposition.
Targeting efforts should then be focused accordingly.
Accounting for the enemy’s deception operations, decoys, repairs,
reinforcements, and replacements for BDA purposes is the most difficult part
of understanding the enemy. Each of these factors is important and must be
taken into account when formulating BDA. Often, initial assessments may
simply acknowledge an “intelligence gap” and apportion assets to collect
against that gap. Later, as intelligence is refined, the unit can begin to
understand how widespread enemy decoys are, how quickly they can repair
damaged systems, and when/where reinforcements are employed. The BDA team
can then incorporate this updated intelligence and adjust their assessment.
Of note, identifying and accounting for enemy decoys is one area where units
will see incredible divergence between Warfighter exercises and real-world
combat. Many real-world systems and capabilities that help us identify
decoys simply cannot be replicated in our current simulated environment. So,
while decoys must be identified in both situations, the final methodology
and results used in each will be dramatically different. It is important to
remain fluid. Many of these aspects of understanding the enemy will change
as the battlefield changes. It is vital that units begin operations with an
initial enemy assessment but regularly update that assessment based on the
many rapid changes that inevitably occur across the battlespace.
During Conflict
Have an Adaptive Plan for BDA Collection and Targeting. With a clear understanding of the enemy and high-payoff targets selected,
the targeting team and the collection team can begin their process of
detecting and delivering appropriate effects against those targets. It is
critical that BDA is deliberately apportioned as part of the collection
plan; otherwise, munitions and other effects will be expended without a
clear method for determining effectiveness. The planned BDA must then be
executed. This seems like it should go without saying, but often units are
unable to confirm target destruction because the necessary collection assets
have been redirected. The second critical requirement of BDA collection is
ensuring that someone is tasked with processing, exploitation, and
dissemination (PED) of collected data. If an asset records an image of a
location or tracks a signal for BDA purposes, someone must execute the PED
to ensure the results are included in the unit’s BDA summary. The final, and
often most overlooked, aspect of BDA collection is the use of non-imagery
assets. While units are usually capable of successfully planning for full
motion video or other imagery of enemy systems, they often overlook other
means to confirm the destruction of enemy systems. Counterfire radars,
ground moving target indication, and signals intelligence are all effective
ways to assess destruction of systems. When the enemy stops shooting, moving
or communicating, it signals success that must be assessed, even if there is
no image of a burning hulk.
Once a collection plan is created and executed with dedicated PED support,
units often find that duplicate reporting can occur as responsibilities
overlap on a complicated battlefield. A target destroyed by fires elements,
in support of an aviation brigade, operating within a division battlespace,
could be reported by all three of those elements. Attack aviation engaging
targets along the front line could have their targets reported by active
ground elements in the same area. Imagery analysts pulling destroyed
equipment reports from routine sources could include equipment already
reported destroyed by the Air Force. These conflicts can be mitigated with
extremely thorough roles and responsibilities—however, there will always be
unique situations that warrant implementing a method to identify and remove
duplicate reporting. A combination of grid comparisons and a visual overlay
of BDA reporting is recommended; this will identify not only exact
duplicates but also those that are slightly offset.
As an effective collection plan identifies targets for destruction, the unit
also needs targeting goals tied to critical events, decision points, or
triggers. Targeting projections should be based on targeting plans; however,
units often struggle to project future BDA that drives those assessments and
informs operations planning effectively. Instead of projecting BDA based on
which enemy systems are the targeting priorities for each day, units
typically default to a standard daily degradation of 10% to 20%. By
synchronizing targeting goals closely with targeting projections, units can
effectively plan and assess operations to ensure progress and alignment with
goals. For example, an operation may require destruction of 20x artillery
systems and 8x multiple rocket launch systems (MRLS) in a certain section of
the battlefield. Given its available collection assets to detect and
precision munitions on hand to deliver, the unit may have a targeting
projection of 10x artillery systems and 4x MRL systems per day. At the end
of Day One of operations, the unit could assess whether they met their
targeting projection, whether they are on track to meet their overall goal
on Day Two, and, if not, whether they need to adjust the timeline of their
operation.
Create an Assessment. When all the numbers have been
crunched and the unit knows how many enemy systems remain, they can move on
to the actual assessment, which is the part of the BDA process that provides
the most value to other staff sections. As the product that informs the
commander’s decision-making, this is the most important part of the process.
Accurate data is not helpful unless it is turned into information and then
distilled into knowledge. Units often get caught up in reporting the number
of systems killed but never get around to discussing the “so what” of a true
assessment. Stating that “12x 9A52s were destroyed” does not help a
commander nearly as much as “we have destroyed half of the enemy’s
long-range rocket capability in 12th DIV’s AO. This forces the enemy
commander to reposition fires assets and gives U.S. forces fires overmatch
for the next 24 hours.”
Things to consider when drafting an assessment include: what was the effect
on a specific enemy capability—i.e. half destroyed, no longer combat
effective, forced to operate as sections instead of batteries? Is there a
gap on the battlefield now? How long will it take the enemy to adjust? Was
an enemy decision point triggered? Was the enemy forced to modify its COA?
Some of these assessments can be done by the BDA team, while others will
require input from fusion analysts with better knowledge of enemy actions.
Some assessment sections may require input from specialists in other
warfighting functions; for example, the protection team may need to provide
information about how the enemy air defenses might adjust coverage after
certain losses.
Units also need to consider how they are going to assess non-kinetic
effects. Many of the same considerations come into play here, such as how an
enemy’s capability was affected, how long the effect will last, or how the
enemy will adjust; nevertheless, this can be more complicated than assessing
kinetic effects. For an accurate understanding of non-kinetic effects so an
accurate assessment can be included in their product, BDA teams will need to
work closely with the specialty staff sections that coordinate non-lethal
effects.
To facilitate understanding of the written assessment, it is helpful to
include some sort of visualization. The format for that visualization will
depend on how the unit commander assimilates information most effectively.
There are a variety of options, e.g. kill charts, color coded percentages,
bar charts, or pie charts. Some units utilize a map overlay, while others
use a simple cartoon sketch with minimal operations graphics and a few major
phase lines. The specific format is far less important than ensuring the
commander receives a complete, accurate assessment in a timely manner. The
commander thus has the necessary tools to make informed decisions and plan
operations against a clear understanding of what enemy capabilities remain
on the battlefield and their locations.
Conclusion
Despite its apparent simplicity, .the process of assessing battle damage to
produce effective BDAs presents significant complexities. Although doctrine
does not currently outline BDA processes for division and corps echelons,
commanders still require comprehensive reporting. A thoroughly planned
process that clearly outlines roles and responsibilities, combined with a
trained and adaptive team, ensures efficient and effective BDA during LSCO.
This in turn informs better planning and decision making—and that leads to a
more lethal force.
Author
MAJ Jeff Wegmeyer is currently assigned as an
Intelligence OC/T at the Mission Command Training Program. Since arriving
at MCTP, MAJ Wegmeyer has supported multiple Warfighters and ASCC-level
exercises, focusing for the past two years on coaching BDA teams on
systems and processes. Previous assignments include 1st Infantry Division,
ARCYBER, 25th Infantry Division, USARPAC, and 4th Infantry Division, plus
one combat tour in Afghanistan and a non-combat tour to Europe.